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THE Lowly Peon


'analysts' 
30 March 2008, 2:14pm

i don't get it. i was catching up on my RSS feeds and i saw an article titled "...3G iPhone in June". woah! alright! too bad i just bought a 16gb iPhone. but wait. apple never releases any of this information unless very carefully. and when reading RSS feeds, you know it's real because you see a zillion articles with the same title. so of course apple's not gonna release a 3g iPhone in june. and no, it's not gonna have flash either! and then i got to thinking, it's about time i posted a blog about how silly people think they are in predicting things like this.i suppose it's merely like this: some bookie says dog 38 will win, hands down. 10 people believe him. soon, 7 people hate his guts, but 3 people love him. and will bet double on the next outrageous claim, thinking he's got "the inside scoop". maybe 2 of those will hate him, but one guy will think he is steve jobs himself. so i guess these phony baloney guys hope they'll find that one sucker that thinks the world of him.predicting apple releases is almost like predicting the stock market. and unless you have a tumor in your brain that allows you to know pi, or some camera that takes a picture 5 minutes in the future, predicting the stock market is pretty tough.why is it that people actually believe these predictions? if some dude says AAPL is gonna be $240 by june, why the hell would i believe that anymore than if so crazy bum on the street told me it was gonna be $130? what gets an even bigger laugh is when market analysts try to predict long term AAPL growth. i read an article once that said the iPhone would fail because it would be too slippery. before anyone outside the company had even touched one![note: AAPL is going to be at $237 by August 12th. i promise. i know it for a fact.]

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comments

The Invincible Blab

[31 March 2008]

its true. but i am one of those 3 people and i feel very stupid when dog 18 actually wins.

 

Will

[31 March 2008]

Yeah, Abby, you and your gambling problems at the racetrack...